Updates concerning the posts:
http://fxrambler.blogspot.gr/2017/12/usdtry-current-medium-and-long-term.html
http://fxrambler.blogspot.gr/2017/12/eurtry.html
http://fxrambler.blogspot.gr/2017/12/gbptry-current-medium-and-long-term.html
Update 14/12/2017
Researchers expressed the following arguments:
Growth is driven by cheap credit. Ways for new stimulus programs have been exhausted.
Rolling over the countries debt might become a serious issue if core market yields rise.
Both valid arguments.
Inflation is at 13%. and as a result real rate at the moment is negative.
Why such a modest rise today?
Seeing #TRY stabilizing the last weeks and getting marginally stronger, not getting hammered by #USD yesterday when FED raised rates, and the data that came out lately could be factors of influence in the decision to postpone a descent rate hike.
However, the main factor could have been politics once more. Economically speaking, it is the consensus among researchers and in the markets as well that a hike is inevitable.
Politics are and will continue to be a negative factor for investors, the market, and #TRY.
Pressure on #TRY will probably rise after today.
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